Posts Tagged ‘ Canadian election 2019 ’

2019 Canadian election log, VI : ???? (or is it finally starting to gel as Lib minority gov that will last who knows how long??)

Oct 20th, 2019 | By | Category: In Brief

[UPDATED OCT 20, 10:30 AM, 1:45 PM, 5:00 PM, 11:30 PM ET]. GANATSEKWYAGON, ON. SUN, OCT 20, 2019. 2:30 AM ET. According to Barry Tango on Twitter — “According to Ekos: ‘There are many ridings where the Conservatives have a slim plurality but will now win because of Liberal–NDP contests.’ Unless you want to wake […]



2019 Canadian election log, V: How about back to the future of Pierre Trudeau’s second election in 1972 (again) ??

Oct 16th, 2019 | By | Category: In Brief

GANATSEKWYAGON, ON. WED, OCT 16, 2019. With the actual Canadian federal election now only four or five days away, it is hard to say anything altogether sensible about the ultimate result. Except that it does seem very close (in various respects) and impossible to predict. We’re finding ourselves thrown back on the amusement of no […]



2019 Canadian election log, IV : looking a Conservative minority government straight in the eye

Oct 12th, 2019 | By | Category: In Brief

[UPDATED OCTOBER 13]. In its UPDATED ON OCT 12, 2019 AT 9:21 AM ET edition Éric Grenier’s CBC Poll Tracker is now predicting 140 seats in the elected Canadian parliament for Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives, with 32.6% of the cross-Canada popular vote, and only 135 seats (and 32.0% of the popular vote) for Justin Trudeau’s Liberals! […]



2019 Canadian election log, III : Is unstable Scheer Conservative minority government a real prospect … mmm yes ??

Oct 9th, 2019 | By | Category: In Brief

GANATSEKWYAGON, ON. OCT 9, 6 PM ET/3 PM PT. A new Forum Research poll shows Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives suddenly pulling well ahead in the wake of the October 7 TV debate. This at least raises the prospect that Green party leader Elizabeth May may have been wrong towards the end of this past Monday’s debate, […]



2019 Canadian election log, II : verdicts on the October 7 great debate

Oct 7th, 2019 | By | Category: In Brief

OCTOBER 7. 3 PM ET : Waiting for the great debate to start at 7 PM. (And more immediately for the daily office trek to the Tim Horton’s overlooking our local Kew Gardens.) Already today’s public polling installment has moved away from possible early signs of a Liberal surge in the final two weeks, and […]



2019 Canadian election log, I (with codas on Brexotics & Trump Impeachorama)

Oct 7th, 2019 | By | Category: In Brief

GANATSEKWYAGON, ON. OCT 7, 2019, 12:30 AM ET. According to CBC Poll Tracker analyst Éric Grenier, as updated on October 6, 2019 at 11:34 AM ET : “Though the gap remains insignificant, the Liberals have moved ahead of the Conservatives in the national polling average for the first time since February.” (And on the same […]



How about Abacus Data’s latest thoughts on Canadian federal election October 21, 2019 : “A Tale of Two (Or More) Races”?

Sep 6th, 2019 | By | Category: In Brief

Bruce Anderson and David Coletto at Abacus Data have come up with (I think) an especially helpful and interesting take on the October 21 Canadian federal election, in reporting on their latest “national survey of 4,549 Canadians, completed on August 28.” (The Anderson and Coletto report is dated September 5.) They start by noting that, […]



Did Vancouver Pride Parade prefigure next federal government in Canada?

Aug 6th, 2019 | By | Category: Ottawa Scene

It’s the early days of August — “for the people and their favourite islands.” Beyond the great but too often sad entertainment of current American history next door, no Canadian of any sense is thinking about anything at all serious. And that certainly goes double for the Canadian federal election this coming October 21. Photographs […]



Hello Hippie Chick : at least you could just move to the Canada that will (hopefully) re-elect Justin Trudeau on October 21?

Jul 20th, 2019 | By | Category: In Brief

What to make of the latest political craziness in the USA today (at least from where I live, north of the Great Lakes)? Here are four clusters of mid-summer 2019 intelligence, gleaned from the World Wide Web — and beyond : I. THE WISDOM OF GEORGE WILL : My shrewdest insider source from the hard […]



Top 5 list : why we still support the Justin Trudeau Liberals for October 21 .. in spite of all their faults ..

May 5th, 2019 | By | Category: Ottawa Scene

(1) Opinion polls certainly do suggest that the Justin Trudeau Liberals in Canada have serious problems right now. It is also true that a late April 2015 Abacus poll shows vaguely comparable results to a 2019 Angus Reid poll for broadly the same time of year. In late April 2015 Abacus was reporting Cons 36%, […]