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The bittersweet Ontario election of 2011

Oct 7th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

On TV last night someone (Robin Sears?) called the Ontario provincial election of 2011 bittersweet for all contenders, and that seems a good summary to me. There is a chance of last-minute ups and downs as I write just short of 1 AM on the morning of October 7, but apparently not too much. As […]



Razor-thin Liberal majority in Ontario may still be the best guess (well maybe)?

Oct 5th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

GANATSEKWYAGON, WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 5, 2011, 1:30 AM [UPDATED 12 NOON, 4:40 PM] . The Robert Ghiz Liberals have held on handsomely enough in in Canada’s least populous and geographically smallest province of Prince Edward Island (aka Abegweit and then ÃŽle Saint-Jean in earlier eras).  And Greg Selinger’s New Democrats have now done the same in […]



“No accord, no coalition, no entente, no agreement – formal or informal – or any other linkage of any kind”????

Oct 3rd, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

Prince Edward Island and the Northwest Territories are voting today. The people of Ontario have to wait until Thursday. But according to the Toronto Star yesterday: “Liberal Leader Dalton McGuinty is ruling out any possible arrangement with another party to remain in power after Thursday’s election … With polls suggesting Ontarians are poised to vote […]



Still “too close to call” in Ontario .. but what if it’s a different kind of David Tsubouchi “electoral upset next week”?

Oct 1st, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

GANATSEKWYAGON, SATURDAY, OCTOBER 1, 2011. Not counting today, there are only four days left until all who really care go out and vote in the Ontario election, on Thursday, October 6, 2011.  For more or less hard evidence on why so many still say “it’s too close to call,” see the four most recent polls: […]



Does big TV debate audience mean more people are more interested in Ontario than conventional wisdom claims?

Sep 30th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

I am never sure myself just who figures these things out, and/or exactly how they do it. But according to three different mainstream media reports: “Provincial leaders debate topped TV ratings in Ontario” ; “Ontario leaders debate …  most-watched program of the evening” ; and “1.45 Million Viewers Watch Televised Ontario Election Debate.” To a […]



More than one poll says Liberal Premier McGuinty did well enough in Ontario election debate

Sep 28th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

Probably the fairest thing that can be said about last night’s Ontario election debate on TV is that supporters of all three major parties represented can take some comfort from the performance of their leader.  (See, eg : “Hard hitting exchanges – but no knockout in Ontario leaders’ debate.”) Beyond this, it is intriguing to […]



Is razor-thin Liberal majority most likely Ontario election result now .. before leaders’ debate?

Sep 27th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

With debates last night (French – well sort of, at any rate) and tonight (English), and the actual vote now a mere nine days away, you might think the outcome of the October 6 Ontario provincial election is a little clearer than it used to be. And you would be at least partly right. As […]



Toward European unity 20?? .. what are the politics of fixing the economy?

Sep 25th, 2011 | By | Category: Countries of the World

It is not entirely clear that Europe ought to get most of the blame for the latest bout of international financial neurosis – all too reflected in such other places as the Toronto Stock Exchange this past week. But the once mighty continent is certainly playing that role in the eyes of the concerned global […]



John Ibbitson’s “incumbency hypothesis” in this fall’s Canadian provincial elections .. truth or dare?

Sep 21st, 2011 | By | Category: Canadian Provinces

One of the things keeping democracy in Canada alive – in the face of recurrent improbable odds, in Ottawa and elsewhere – has been a steady supply of very good people who watch over and write on the Canadian political scene (in all its vast diversity and both official languages). A historical list could go […]



Whatever else, Premier Dad Dalton is certainly not dead yet ..

Sep 14th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

Before non-Tory partisans get too excited about such headlines as “Ontario voters trending to McGuinty, poll suggests” (Globe and Mail) or “Liberals inch ahead of Tories in two new polls” (Toronto Star), they might want to at least consider “Tories leading the pack: Poll” (surprise, surprise – in the Toronto Sun). The poll in the […]