All entries by this author

Ontario election 2014 : last minute polling notes, and meditations on the low voter turnout syndrome

Jun 11th, 2014 | By | Category: In Brief

The editors tell me this is the last posting on the (first?) Ontario election of 2014 that counterweights will publish before the actual vote tomorrow. So I have one or two housekeeping matters to attend to, before getting into my main subject of declining voter turnout in Ontario (and elsewhere in the free and democratic […]



Dear Andrew at the CBC : Canadian populist views of the Ontario leaders’ TV debate 2014 (updated June 5)

Jun 4th, 2014 | By | Category: In Brief

UPDATED JUNE 5. I just drew the short straw here at the office. I have to stay late and do a quick report on the Ontario election 2014 leader’s debate on TV : Tuesday, June 3, 6:30—8:00 PM ET. There is, as best I can tell, something of an early consensus somewhere that Liberal leader […]



Ontario election blues, May 23 .. Why are the polls so volatile, and what does it say about the place to stand today?

May 23rd, 2014 | By | Category: In Brief

I remember an eminent authority on such matters saying, just before the Mike Harris Tories in Ontario won their second majority government, almost exactly 15 years ago now : “The pollsters usually get it right.” And in that case they did. They may still get things more or less right in 2014, just before the […]



Ontario election blues 2014 : a junkie’s journal, May 14 – what a difference etc .. new poll says Liberal majority

May 14th, 2014 | By | Category: In Brief

In what increasingly does seem like the wild and crazy “northern uprising” of the 2014 Ontario election, the counterweights editors aptly enough opined only yesterday : “anyone who is hoping that Kathleen’s Liberals will win at least another minority government on June 12 probably ought to be a bit worried. If the May 9 Ipsos […]



Ontario “Northern Uprising” election June 12 will be another one where the campaign really matters!

May 2nd, 2014 | By | Category: In Brief

GANATSEKWYAGON, ON. FRIDAY, MAY 2, 2014. 3:00 PM ET. So (as the premier often begins her remarks on any subject) … a lot has happened in Ontario politics today – and sooner, it seems fair to say, than the smart money thought. This morning NDP leader Andrea Horwath announced that her party would not be […]



What if the UK reforms the House of Lords before we finally get serious about the Senate in Canada?

Apr 26th, 2014 | By | Category: Key Current Issues

The April 25, 2014 Supreme Court of Canada response to the Harper government’s queries on Senate reform includes some poignant passages. This is one of them: “The Constitution Act, 1867 contemplates a specific structure for the federal Parliament, ‘similar in Principle to that of the United Kingdom’ … The Act creates both a lower elected […]



Kathleen’s first big moment of truth in Ontario may (or may not) arrive in May (or more exactly June?)

Apr 17th, 2014 | By | Category: In Brief

One of Canada’s leading go-to guys on political opinion polls, Éric Grenier, posted some intriguing Ontario politics notes last Saturday – under the headline “Tim Hudak And Ontario PCs’ Polling May Be On The Rise (Maybe).” Grenier pointed out that : “A survey conducted by EKOS Research for iPolitics between March 27 and April 3 […]



Key current campaigns : Olivia Chow, Alex Mazer, and Richard Underhill in Toronto, and Tim Hortons in Quebec

Mar 18th, 2014 | By | Category: In Brief

At least some people are talking about how interesting the Quebec provincial election campaign has suddenly become. See, eg : “Marois says rest of Canada would be welcome to visit independent Quebec” ; “Independent Quebec would keep Canadian dollar, Marois says” ; “Marois tells Canada not to be afraid of Quebec election outcome” ; “Naked […]



Mon pays c’est l’hiver.. notes on Ukraine Crisis from frozen city on Lake Iroquois

Mar 2nd, 2014 | By | Category: Countries of the World

It was warmer here yesterday, but now the cold and even some snow have returned. This past week, when records for low temperatures were broken in some places nearby, I  took a certain solace from “Man found ‘frozen solid’ on Highway 401 transported to hospital.” It reminded me of a sentence composed 45 years ago […]



February 13 Ontario byelection notes .. a general election as soon as May?

Feb 14th, 2014 | By | Category: In Brief

Back on January 21, I was reporting that “A new poll suggests the Progressive Conservatives are off to a strong lead in two Ontario byelections being held next month … The poll, conducted Jan. 15, took a random sample of voters in both Thornhill and Niagara Falls … In Thornhill, 44 per cent of voters […]