Archive for 2011

Is another big realignment down the road in Ontario provincial politics?

May 9th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

Late last week Grant LaFleche at the St. Catharines Standard reported that “Tories, NDP hope to repeat federal win in Ontario.” According to Ontario NDP leader Andrea Horwath, the federal Liberal massacre on May 2, 2011 “shows that people are tired of the same old thing, the same old parties … People are fed up […]



Iggy .. ave atque vale .. (or how the Martian outsider returned to his home planet at last)

May 6th, 2011 | By | Category: Ottawa Scene

Michael Ignatieff himself may have the best explanation of why he failed to connect with voters in the Canadian federal election of 2011. In the preface to his CBC Massey lectures on The Rights Revolution in Canada, written in September 2000, he worried that “I am writing about the rights talk of a country of […]



A historic unnecessary election .. probably .. and now there’s only one party responsible for the next four years

May 3rd, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

Anyone who has been paying even a little attention to this site over the past five weeks will know that we are disappointed by the final results of the Canadian federal election of 2011. Our opinion of Mr. Harper and his abilities and liabilities remains the same. And we think it is still worth noting […]



Nothing dead certain about end of surprising and unsettling Canadian federal election campaign of 2011

May 1st, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

[UPDATED FOR SOME FINAL POLLS, MAY 1, AND FINAL RESULT MAY 3]. With just one day to go (and not quite that right now, to be very exact), Eric Grenier at ThreeHundredEight.com says “all indications are Stephen Harper’s Conservatives will likely win their third consecutive election Monday night. But whether the next government will be […]



Canadian federal election 2011 : Orange Crush .. the plot thickens .. or not?

Apr 29th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

[UPDATED MAY 1, 3]. Assorted fresh intelligence on what Frank Graves at EKOS christened the “Orange Crush” final days of the 2011 Canadian federal election campaign has now surfaced. (Orange is the NDP’s lead colour – as well as, some historians will be amused to recall, the colour of the Orangemen, who were “Canada’s storm […]



A little more evidence April 25 EKOS poll not altogether out to lunch ..

Apr 27th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

[UPDATED MAY 1]. Two additional bits of polling data are now offering some degree of support for the dramatic scenario of change in Canadian federal politics this coming Monday, May 2 posed by the April 25 EKOS poll. (In case you’ve forgotten: Conservatives 33.7%, New Democrats 28.0%, Liberals 23.7%, Greens 7.2%, Bloc Quebecois 6.2%, and […]



Is there any chance April 25 EKOS poll is straw in the wind we’ve been waiting for (well some of us anyway)?

Apr 26th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

[UPDATED MAY 1]. Monday, April 25, 2011 was a strange day in the history of the Canadian federal election campaign that will end with the actual vote one week hence, on Monday, May 2. The day began, like almost every other in this campaign (there was a time out for Good Friday) with the results […]



Canadian election 2011 .. now it seems things are starting to get interesting .. maybe (would you believe PM Jack?)

Apr 21st, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

[UPDATED MAY 1]. I started out earlier today writing about how “surfing the Globe and Mail website for federal election news this day before Good Friday on the Christian calendar can make your head hurt.” After a bit of sweat on my top articles for April 20—21, it became clear that four new opinion polls […]



Will Canada be in a black hole no matter what happens on May 2?

Apr 20th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

The Canadian federal election of 2011 started with a lot of wild talk about reckless coalitions. And with a mere 11 days to go now, it’s starting to seem as if that’s how it may end too. It may or may not be a good sign that the imagery has developed somewhat over the past […]



The myth of the competent PM Harper .. and other campaign tales with two long weeks to go ..

Apr 17th, 2011 | By | Category: In Brief

Exactly one week ago I quoted the excellent Douglas Bell’s critical view of the 2011 Canadian federal election campaign: “my guess is that by the end of next week, the numbers will have changed dramatically.”Â  It is now clear that, for the most part, this guess has proved plain wrong. There are a few straws […]